Weekly Global Economic Report – 7 August 2023

Weekly Global Report:

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Highlights

  • The New Zealand Intelligence and Security Committee met with government officials(external link) on 1 August to discuss the long-term national security insights forecast of New Zealand’s future(external link). The report includes responses from a survey of approximately 1000 New Zealanders public on perceived threats, and forecasts three hypothetical future scenarios with different threat outlooks.
  • Former President Trump has been indicted for the third time. Four new federal charges were unveiled last Tuesday related to Trump’s attempts to retain the presidency in 2020. Charges include one count each of conspiracy to violate rights, conspiracy to defraud the government, obstructing an official proceeding and conspiring to do so. Tuesday’s indictment follows indictments relating to mishandling of classified documents and falsifying business records.
  • Trump is the first U.S. president to be indicted, and looks set to face three criminal trials next year, even as he campaigns for the presidency. Despite this, polling shows Trump’s support remains strong. He retains a commanding lead in the Republican primary, and his support is level with President Biden nationally (43% each).
  • China has recently unveiled plans(external link) to impose tighter rules on the use of technology by children under the age of 18. This includes including limiting minors’ device usage and controlling the content they consume online. These draft restrictions come two years after China restricted minors to just three hours a week playing online games, in an effort to counter internet addiction among young people. Some media commentators suggest that these proposed regulations will have implications for online content providers and tech groups in China.

Domestic

  • Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) have published the UpStart Nation report(external link) containing recommendations for supporting startups in New Zealand. The report offers advice and insights under four pillars; capital, capability, connectivity and culture.
  • The Government has announced an additional $567 million of support towards state highway repairs for Tairawhiti, Wairoa, Hawke’s Bay, Coromandel and Northland in the aftermath of Cyclone Gabrielle. Although most connections have been restored, the additional funding will address safety and resilience of roads including resurfacing work, and repairs or replacement of damaged and temporary bridges.
  • New Zealand unemployment increased in the three-months to June, rising form 3.4% to 3.6%.

Africa

  • Foreign Minister Nanaia Mahuta travelled to South Africa last week to explore ways New Zealand can deepen its relationship and economic ties with the region. Minister Mahuta met with her counterpart, South African Minister of International Relations and Cooperation Naledi Pandor, and Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs, Thembisile Nkadimeng. Minister Mahuta also attended several engagements promoting business cooperation with New Zealand, and met with key development partners.

Americas

  • Canada has passed new legislation(external link), The Online News Act, which will require internet platforms like Google and Meta to pay news publishers for content. Australia passed similar legislation in 2021, eventuating in commercial deals between the internet giants and Australian media companies.

Australia

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia left its interest rates unchanged at 4.1%. The accompanying statement(external link) noted inflation remains too high at 6% despite recent declines, the labour market remains very tight, and the Australian economy is in a period of ‘below-trend growth’.

Europe

  • For the month of June the Eurozone unemployment rate hit at a record low of 6.4 percent(external link), down from 6.7 percent compared to last year. Germany had the lowest unemployment rate at 3 percent, and Spain had the highest rate at 11.7 percent.
  • The Eurozone economy surpassed market expectations with 0.3 percent growth(external link) for quarter two of 2023. Both France and Spain saw growth, Germany stagnated and Italy experienced a contraction. Annual inflation for the Eurozone continued to slow in July, down to 5.3 percent – the lowest it has been since January of 2022(external link). Slowdowns in cost increases have been observed across energy, food, alcohol, tobacco and non-energy industrial goods. However, services inflation has increased 0.2 percent to 5.6 percent.

United Kingdom

  • House prices in the UK have been falling(external link) at a rate of 0.2 percent month-on-month according to mortgage lender Nationwide. Nationwide’s Chief economist Robert Gardner said that rising interest rates have pushed mortgages over 6 percent for home buyers, with a typical first-time buyer seeing mortgage repayments account for 43 percent of their income, up from 32 percent last year.
  • Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has announced plans(external link) to authorize more than 100 new licences allowing companies to drill for oil and gas in the North Sea.

Market reports released this week

External links

The following links may provide useful information to businesses:

NZTE(external link) has a website focused on providing COVID-19 information for exporters. They’ve also launched myNZTE(external link), an interactive digital portal of insights and tools available to all New Zealand exporters.

The Treasury releases a weekly economic update(external link) every Friday. Stats NZ has published a data portal(external link) with near real-time economic indicators.

MBIE publishes a sector reports series(external link) which provides regularly updated reports on all industry sectors that make up the New Zealand economy. These include official economic data and the challenges and opportunities that face New Zealand’s industry sectors.

Business.govt.nz(external link) provides tools and advice from across government to save small businesses’ time and help make the business a success.

MFAT has created a tariff finder(external link) which is designed to help goods exporters and importers maximise benefits from New Zealand’s Free Trade Agreements and compare tariffs in 136 other markets.

The all of government Trade Barriers(external link) website can be used to register any trade barriers experienced or issues exporting to an offshore market. Queries can be sent via the website or through the MFAT Exporter Helpline 0800 824 605. Enquiries will be sent to the government agency best placed to answer.

Tatauranga Aotearoa Stats NZ provides official data on the value of New Zealand’s exports and imports of both goods and services, by commodity type via the New Zealand Trade Dashboard(external link). This interactive dashboard is updated every quarter and allows for filtering by country and by commodity type.

More reports

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Disclaimer

This information released in this report aligns with the provisions of the Official Information Act 1982. The opinions and analysis expressed in this report are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the views or official policy position of the New Zealand Government. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade and the New Zealand Government take no responsibility for the accuracy of this report.

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