Weekly Global Economic Report – 30 September 2025

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Trade and Economic Updates

Global

WTO opens NGO accreditation for Yaoundé Ministerial Conference 

The World Trade Organisation (WTO) has opened the accreditation process for non-governmental organisations (NGOs) wishing to attend the 14th Ministerial Conference. The conference will take place in Yaoundé, Cameroon, from 26 to 29 March 2026. More information and the registration link can be found here: WTO opens NGO accreditation for Yaoundé Ministerial Conference(external link)

UNCTAD: Review of Maritime Transport 2025 Warns of Shipping Stagnation

The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development’s (UNCTAD) Review of Maritime Transport 2025(external link) projects global seaborne trade will flatline in 2025, growing by just 0.5% compared to 2.2% in 2024. Shipping routes are being reshaped by geopolitical tensions and disruptions such as those in the Red Sea, forcing vessels onto longer and costlier paths that have pushed “ton-mile” demand well ahead of actual trade volumes. The report highlights rising freight volatility, a 5% increase in greenhouse gas emissions from shipping in 2024, and lagging port and fuel infrastructure, especially in developing regions. UNCTAD warned that small island and least developed economies face disproportionate challenges from these pressures, and called for urgent investment in cleaner fleets, digital systems, and resilient port operations

Europe

OECD Interim Economic Outlook: Growth Softens, Risks Persist

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has trimmed its 2025 global growth forecast to 3%(external link), from 3.2% earlier this year, noting that momentum is increasingly uneven across regions. Inflation is easing but more slowly than expected in advanced economies, as higher service costs and wage pressures linger. Investment growth is weakening, particularly in manufacturing, where soft demand and policy uncertainty are weighing heavily. Trade growth is also projected to moderate, with supply chain realignments and tariff tensions limiting gains. The OECD warns that risks remain tilted to the downside, including the potential for a sharper slowdown in China, escalating trade conflicts, or tighter global financial conditions. 

Americas

US Department of Commerce opens two new section 232 investigations

On 25 September, the US Department of Commerce published details of two new Section 232 investigations into Robotics and Industrial Machinery(external link) and Personal Protective Equipment, Medical Consumables, and Medical Equipment, Including Devices(external link). The scope for the investigation is intentionally broad, and the Department of Commerce does not specify tariff line coverage. A Section 232 trade investigation is conducted under the US Trade Expansion Act of 1962 to determine whether imports of certain goods threaten the US’ national security. The investigation is initiated by the Secretary of Commerce and includes a comprehensive review of factors like overcapacity, dumping, and illegal subsidies. If the investigation finds that imports pose a threat, the President can impose tariffs or other trade restrictions to protect national security. The Act specifies that Section 232 investigations must be completed, and a report submitted to the President within 270 days of the investigation being initiated. As part of the investigation there is a call for public comments from interested parties and in the case of this investigation comments must be received by 17 October 2025. Please email us at us.exports@mfat.govt.nz(external link) if you have any specific questions. 

President Trump announces new tariffs via Truth Social 

On 26 September, President Trump announced via Truth Social several new tariffs, likely as a result of the s232 investigations that will apply from 1 October. These include:

We are yet to see an Executive Order on the White House website(external link) or a notice in the Federal Register(external link) for these announcements so do not yet know what tariff lines they cover.

South and Southeast Asia

New Zealand-India Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement negotiations continue

Round 3 of in-person negotiations towards a comprehensive free trade agreement between New Zealand and India were held in Queenstown from 15-19 September 2025. Discussions were constructive with progress made across a number of areas. Negotiations are ongoing as New Zealand and India look to strengthen their trade relationship.

Feedback

We welcome feedback from New Zealand exporters on this report and invite requests for reporting from New Zealand’s network of Embassies and High Commissions. If you have suggestions on a topic you would like to hear more about, or to subscribe to this weekly update, you can sign up here(external link) or email us at exports@mfat.net

Market reports released this week

A full list of global economic round-ups can be found here(external link)

If you would like to request a topic for reporting please email exports@mfat.net

External links

The following links may provide useful information to businesses:

NZTE’s website(external link) and their myNZTE(external link) provides a range of insights and tools available to support New Zealand exporters.

The Treasury releases a weekly economic update(external link) every Friday. Stats NZ has published a data portal(external link) with near real-time economic indicators.

MBIE publishes a sector reports series(external link) which provides regularly updated reports on all industry sectors that make up the New Zealand economy. These include official economic data and the challenges and opportunities that face New Zealand’s industry sectors.

Business.govt.nz(external link) provides tools and advice from across government to save small businesses’ time and help make the business a success.

MFAT has created a tariff finder(external link) which is designed to help goods exporters and importers maximise benefits from New Zealand’s Free Trade Agreements and compare tariffs in 136 other markets.

The all of government Trade Barriers(external link) website can be used to register any trade barriers experienced or issues exporting to an offshore market. Queries can be sent via the website or through the MFAT Exporter Helpline 0800 824 605. Enquiries will be sent to the government agency best placed to answer.

Tatauranga Aotearoa Stats NZ provides official data on the value of New Zealand’s exports and imports of both goods and services, by commodity type via the New Zealand Trade Dashboard(external link). This interactive dashboard is updated every quarter and allows for filtering by country and by commodity type.

Sign up for email alerts

If you would like to subscribe to this weekly update, go to our subscription page(external link) or email us at exports@mfat.net

Learn more about exporting

New Zealand Trade & Enterprise’s comprehensive market guides(external link) cover export regulations, business culture, market-entry strategies and more.

Disclaimer

This information released in this report aligns with the provisions of the Official Information Act 1982. The opinions and analysis expressed in this report are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the views or official policy position of the New Zealand Government. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade and the New Zealand Government take no responsibility for the accuracy of this report.

Copyright

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